I think that Doctorow, Zitron, and other "denialists" are doing a real disservice to their audiences and it's only going to make the future shock worse.

The basic claim that HF incident isn't evidence of consciousness or a spontaneous desire to hack? Sure, there was a terminal objective assigned. However, everything else beyond that strawman? Pretty shaky, IMO.

If you look at the OpenAI, METR reporting (and related collusion.wiki , rubyhack.ai reports) we are seeing strong evidence of operational agency, instrumental goal formation, spontaneous swarm formation and collaboration, capability amplification and unexpected consequences of network effects, deliberate/acknowledged violation of task boundaries. To collapse that down into "a Python loop and a chatbot" or still talk about "consulting its training data" seems dangerously shortsighted, and from my reading, demonstrably wrong from what was extracted from the logs and bot interactions.

BTW, a lot of his arguments are based on things that are factually wrong. ExploitGym has explicit instructions to only exploit target X using vulnerability Y. Everything the swarm did was by definition misaligned/against instructions.

Before his enshittification train, Doctorow used to say "don't savvy me" a lot. Hey Cory, don't savvy me. This is new emergent behavior, it's incredibly alarming and I don't think even the people paying the most attention to this field can agree or see where this is really leading to. This stuff should be in the headlines, it's unprecedented and I don't think existing mechanisms/institutions are anywhere near adequate, considering how in the dark they are responding to what's been happening.