It amazes me how pieces like this never stop to question whether these beliefs are genuine.
If I'm one of these researchers who's leaving their position, "I am so smart that I can make something world endingly dangerous, but also so principled that I'm willing to walk away from it" is a pretty slick bit of self promotion.
Even if I was making a career change for unrelated reasons, that's absolutely the story I'd be telling.
Is it because they will get funding to stop the risk even if the risk never existed in the first place to any significant extent? Are most of these wild declarations not exclusively for market value and funding?
Right now there's pretty limited set of actions that rogue AI can do with internet access. The most dangerous options are hacking into biolab facility, and maybe hacking into nuclear reactors or nuclear weapons.
These things should be as secure as possible, and I don't think rogue AIs, even super intelligent ones, have the capability to destroy humanity. Not to mention, super intelligent AIs would know that destroying humanity will also destroy themselves.
Maybe in 20 years once we have only self driving cars, robots in every household or maybe robots with weapons, then AI would pose a real extinction risk. But we're not there yet and it depends less on the development of AI and more on the development of physical real world robots.
From permanent underclass to human extinction. What's next?
AI is a problem only now where the people in power or their families are at risk of being assassinated. AI assisted drones were not a problem at all when they were sent for years to kill everybody in weddings at some obscure Asian country.
Is obvious that Trump fears an AI assisted killer droid attack. Change of hair tone, to make the automatic match more difficult, thick plastic screens seen behind him at rallies, A cavalcade of Trump impersonators and limousines driving around some place with the only logical explanation to lure any assassins out...
He looks much less smug, is reducing his Chiquito de la Calzada [1] impersonations and adopting a lower profile, maybe also fearing the post-midterms. His social truth posts are filled with images of him with radioactive fire balls in his hands and escaping to somewhere in planes and vehicles. Asking for a ride out of US?
The risk of some disruptive event in the next 60 days is greater than ever in US history, and it does not need to be assisted by AI. NS (natural stupidity) is more than enough.
I don't see how this could be stopped unless every country agrees to follow international laws of war. Sadly this can't happen until a few old men and war criminals are arrested, or they die of old age.
These men are the real problem, not AI.
They will block or delay the climate actions until is too late. Will remove anti famine measures just by spite, killing thousands. They will do anything to save themselves from jail, or to earn one million more.
Narrative collapse.
A common retort to someone talking about extinction risk is "only people which don't work on AI research or understand transformers are scared. people that work on LLMs know better than to fear matrix multiplication".
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From TFA:
I fear the vast (and growing) human incompetence in essential domains. Education and science are crucial to society, and reasoning is necessary to cooperation at every level.The "zone" of public discourse is flooded with sewage. US news business has lost its mind. And government...
Humans being "in-the-loop" is not enough. Humans must know what they are actually saying and doing. Humans just being "in-the-loop" cannot fix incompetence in social policy and software design.
Humans are "in-the-loop" in corporations and that isn't working very well for society.