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zug_zugtoday at 2:03 AM1 replyview on HN

> The "value" of most knowledge workers -- based on what enterprises currently pay for them -- is $50 - 70 trillion annually.

What do you mean? The sum of ALL US salaries is $13.4 Trillion per year. According to google $65T is the sum of ALL salaries Globally (not just knowledge workers). It's not reasonable to assume AI is a drop-in-replacement for any job yet (perhaps bottom tier customer support from oversees?).

> So if their hypothetical revenues are double-digit trillions and valuations are some multiple of that

So you're sort of premising here than more than 16% or 1/6 of all the world's jobs get replaced by AI. Hopefully you can understand that's both not the current AI capability and also would be a terrible (unprecedented?) economic shock.


Replies

farrellm23today at 3:07 AM

You are comparing company valuations to annualized revenue (as approximated by some fraction of total knowledge worker compensation). Valuations are (roughly) based on the sum of all discounted future cash flows, not just the current year’s revenue.