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grey-areatoday at 3:01 PM2 repliesview on HN

If they need capital in the short term and were anywhere close to AGI, they could easily generate it, by spinning up their incredibly capable and intelligent agents to generate capital through doing useful work. They could also fire entire departments within their own org and replace them with agents, if they had something close to AGI.

Instead they are selling a dream to the gullible, and advertisements to go along with that dream.


Replies

ffsm8today at 6:21 PM

while i suspect youre right, this cannot be concluded with the information we have as of today.

eg its also possible that theyre either close to AGI (or even beyond it) - and its just too expensive to run at scale, making it a novelty from the perspective of profitability for the near to medium future.

you could argue that they could still do it for some positions -- but even that depends on just how expensive this theoretical model is.

theptiptoday at 3:52 PM

What you describe is IMO “fully obtained AGI”, what I’m arguing for is consistent with “< 5 years to AGI” which I deem “close”.

That said AGI is a fuzzy term and you’ll model the world poorly if you treat it as a binary state.

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