logoalt Hacker News

HarHarVeryFunnyyesterday at 4:42 PM1 replyview on HN

They already have working machines, and are slated to ship the first 5 early production ones right about now (before the end of 2026), and are projecting 20 for next year.

Small numbers perhaps, but this is happening right now.

What will the numbers be in 5-10 years time? Who knows, but ASML took about 5 years to go from 20/yr to 100+/yr.

Of course politically the world may well be quite different in 5 years time, as may be the AI market.


Replies

aurareturnyesterday at 4:59 PM

Yes, 5 years seems like an eternity in AI world.

We also don't know how small of nm chips they can manufacture. If it's 20nm, it's practically useless for advanced AI chips.