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echelontoday at 12:09 PM3 repliesview on HN

The value will tend towards infinity [1] because we can keep building more data centers. This will allow us to apply tokens to solving every problem we can conceive.

The cost will tend towards zero because competition is intense and there appear to be zero moats and ample improvements from every direction.

If these systems have low costs, that means they will be usable by the broad population and that their utility will be widely accessible.

Industrialization led to iPhone, PlayStation, Spotify, and Waymo.

AI will lead to personal chefs, contractors, assistants, drivers, tutors, climbing partners, ...

AI will lead to people making their own PlayStation games, their own music and streaming services (I already have), their own custom smartphones (a future personal project - vibe hardware). And your robot will drive you cross country on vacation while you sleep in the car.

[1] Not actually infinity because earth [2] has finite resources, but the S-curve will look like it for awhile.

[2] Until the robots leave earth, anyway


Replies

TeMPOraLtoday at 1:20 PM

> but the S-curve will look like it for awhile.

Yeah, S-curve should be classified as fallacy, because it rarely covers what people argue it does.

Economic and technological growth is a stack of S-curves, where one very specific facet may hit limits and taper off, only for equivalent, complementary or alternative facet to take off in its place. Added up, there's no sign of the exponent stopping any time soon, not until hitting real limits, or (probably more likely) some general catastrophy that shuts down human civilization.

idbnstratoday at 1:44 PM

[2] this is why we need georgism, i.e. shifting taxes to finite resources like land, minerals, etc.

jplusequalttoday at 2:13 PM

>AI will lead to personal chefs, contractors, assistants, drivers, tutors, climbing partners, ...

You need to show how having X more data centers is somehow going to translate into affordable, highly advanced robots in the immediate future.

There are hard problems about robotics we don't yet know how to solve. Not to mention, who the fuck is going to buy them if AI takes their jobs?

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