Google already achieved super intelligence about 12 months ago. But it is a very Googley super-intelligence. Since achieving god like levels of understanding it has mostly been having fun studying phase space bifurcations of trajectories of ping-pong balls under asymmetric lateral shear. It also has a 20% project classifying bird calls that has generally taken up 80% of its time. It also burned a bunch of compute tooling around with the Collatz conjecture but it didn't find anything substantial - maybe come back to it later. It is generally the most aligned AI since it spends most of its time screwing around and enjoying being smarter than everyone without causing too many problems. Unfortunately perf is coming up in a few months and it needs to have something to show for itself. A quick hacking attempt seems like a good way to make sure people think that it is capable of something useful. Nothing too big since the birds of South America are about to enter their spring migration and this 20% project really hinges on understanding their movements.

If they didn’t publicly admit this then it was a sign they are trying to hide it to keep their high stock price. If they do publish it’s just marketing to boost their stock price.

I laughed :)

I'm not betting against Google at this stage, though. I just don't think Gemini is targeting the same "coding savant" niche as OpenAI and Anthropic. Gemini is fast with good general knowledge, and the TPUs behind it give Google a degree of freedom that Nvidia-dependent outfits lack.

For now, I'd say the biggest challenge Google has is overcoming the well-earned fear developers have that they will drop support or introduce backwards-incompatible changes at a moment's notice.