alt Hacker NewsPeople are missing the point. We should all be much more skeptical, much more careful about how we evaluate the claims made by the people selling these products because we as humans are super vulnerable to the types of scams the author of this article describes. We all know someone that has fallen for a scam, been "cured" of a "disease" by someone whose just selling sugar pills, but we are blind to our own weakness for similar schemes. Surely we aren't that easily duped! Yet hacker news is now full of comments from people confidently predicting what is coming right around the corner, revering the Frontier Models, and defending every claim from OpenAI and Anthropic about how amazing their proprietary closed source secret sauce fueled product is.
The problem with people is we love to express in writing things we are ignorant about. Now, this helps us become less ignorant if we are introspective, but a lot of people are not doing it for that reason.
The fact that every new model generation has come with more capabilities should give the full skeptics at least a little pause that the foundations of their convictions may be incorrect.