You're claiming the frontier labs are lying about the capabilities of their next generation models. A reasonable person will expect that statement to be backed up by some verifiable evidence, given that we are several generations of models into this process and the capabilities are consistently increasing, often much more radically than people expected (remember "stochastic parrots"?)
Your post claims that they're lying and then throws out a bunch of fear, uncertainty, and doubt about what they're doing behind the scenes.
If I were to steelman your argument, you're probably saying that the AI had a support system around it of people and training data and feedback that allowed it to achieve the breakthroughs that the labs are claiming. That actually seems perfectly reasonable, but in my mind it does not invalidate the advances they're announcing.
This is a shallow dismissal.
You're claiming the frontier labs are lying about the capabilities of their next generation models. A reasonable person will expect that statement to be backed up by some verifiable evidence, given that we are several generations of models into this process and the capabilities are consistently increasing, often much more radically than people expected (remember "stochastic parrots"?)
Your post claims that they're lying and then throws out a bunch of fear, uncertainty, and doubt about what they're doing behind the scenes.
If I were to steelman your argument, you're probably saying that the AI had a support system around it of people and training data and feedback that allowed it to achieve the breakthroughs that the labs are claiming. That actually seems perfectly reasonable, but in my mind it does not invalidate the advances they're announcing.