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sheafificationtoday at 7:44 PM2 repliesview on HN

I’m not seeing anything like a falsifiable prediction that LLMs will write math proofs in that article.

I see a thought experiment about giving GPT-2 “near-infinite training data and [compute]” but that’s not falsifiable. That’s also not how we got to modern GPT models.


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famouswafflestoday at 9:43 PM

He's pretty clearly saying he beilieves the technology capable of such a feat, at least in theory, which is far more than many would deign to admit even a year ago, nevermind 7. He had the right idea/model of LLM capabilities, which is more than you could say for a lot of people, even in this very thread.

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bananaflagtoday at 8:00 PM

Okay here's one of his explicit predictions, from 2018 (before LLMs) about 2023:

"If AI can generate images and even stories to a prompt, everyone will agree this is totally different from real art or storytelling."

https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/02/15/five-more-years/

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