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TacticalCodertoday at 7:56 PM3 repliesview on HN

> Currently nobody knows when the first big financial crisis is fully locked in.

What do you mean the "first" big? 1929? 2001? 2008?

Do you mean 1929 wasn't a big financial crisis and that, this time, we'll have the first "real" big financial crisis?

I'm confused.


Replies

hattmalltoday at 8:02 PM

They mean the roughly 25 year tech sector run that's now culminating in the irrational exuberance of AI. There have been some hits already and the result of those is market cap consolidation of the largest companies. Not sure what the number is but the the 10 largest companies make up a huge percent of the entire S&P and most have extreme exposure to the same risks. The sector has been boosted by the NVIDIA circular financing as well but at some point there is a limit. Although they are angling for a pre-bailout with all the AI is going to kill humanity fear mongering. The only savior for the sector will be the government, the question is if the government steps in before or after an organic collapse.

Zigurdtoday at 7:59 PM

I mean the first AI financial crisis at an AI company. I did provide an example. First, the investor cash has to dry up, then the AI data centers have to start getting itchy about what those multi billion dollar contracts are actually worth.