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seizethecheesetoday at 4:09 PM3 repliesview on HN

Maybe I’m confused here, but it’s perfectly reasonable to just guess the same dice roll every time right?


Replies

kantahayashitoday at 4:17 PM

Yes. There's no problem with choosing the same face every time. The problem is the probability it attached to the choice. Jev gave face 1 an 83% probability while the true probability is 1/6.

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dgritskotoday at 4:37 PM

Reminds me of this... https://xkcd.com/221/

alexmolastoday at 4:12 PM

I don't know if it's reasonable. What it isn't is calibrated.