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ironman1478 • today at 3:46 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

What happens when these companies decide to start increasing the cost/token, exceeding the cost of hiring an engineer or paying for an external service in the first place?


Replies

istjohn • today at 5:02 PM

Cost per intelligence-adjusted token has been in free-fall since GPT-3 landed five years ago [0]. I see no compelling reason to think we'll see that trend suddenly stop, much less reverse.

0. "The cost of achieving a given level of AI performance has fallen about 47% per quarter since 2023, or 13× per year." https://epoch.ai/publications/the-plunging-price-of-thought

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oblio • today at 5:03 PM

No, they would never...

What do you mean? They need to recover hundreds of billions in sunk costs?