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duhhhhh1212 • today at 3:56 AM • 1 reply • view on HN

“There are no real experts on this” lol yes, Jacob, because there are no “real” soothsayer experts.


Replies

jacobgold • today at 4:11 AM

It's very possible to predict that certain technologies will be created. It's just very difficult to predict precisely when.

For example, humans will almost certainly be able to re-create the human brain in some kind of hardware+software computer. We just don't know when. It might be much sooner or much later than you'd expect.

Merely being skeptical of progress isn't a convincing answer to the AI x-risk argument.