alt Hacker NewsI'm very thankful for the section on reproducibility. I argue this is the single biggest hangup for the entire space. You CAN have temperature and determinism. I've been waiting for six years for a major provider to offer it, there is demand, but I've slowly come to realize the current game theory does not support it.
For providers, not supporting deterministic eval means:
- users use more tokens = more money
- providers can generate more tokens per compute = more money
- providers have cheaper hardware options (GPUs) = more money
- providers models are harder to extract/distill = more money
- providers are harder to hold liable for outputs = more money
- providers can secretly use other models = more money
- providers are harder to compare against others = more money
- providers can cherry pick performance results = more money
Very good points. Incentives are just terrible for this.
Add in:
- harder to audit
- move cost of failure/reprompts to the user
- kind of noted by you, but all kinds of quantization, model pruning, model routing, A/B testing becomes invisible and without any repercussions. The ways to cost-optimize are just crazy.
IIRC Thinking Machines had a mode with deterministic numerics but it's more expensive to run due to limitations this imposes on cross-batch ops and ordering of floating point reductions, and their model is not great overall.