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frumplestlatz • yesterday at 9:58 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

Which is more likely?

1) They genuinely want (and believe it is actually possible to achieve) an international agreement and governing body to “pace” AI development — and believe that governing body will be successful in doing so.

or

2) They see an opportunity for regulatory capture that grants them a stronger incumbent position and control over future AI regulation.


Replies

ryeights • yesterday at 10:13 PM

International control of nuclear arms faced similarly tall odds. So why is it impossible for AI?

➕ show 2 replies
mrob • yesterday at 10:51 PM

>and believe that governing body will be successful in doing so.

Theoretically, Trump or Putin could do it by pushing the nuclear button. That will only cause around 4 billion deaths, and it's very likely to halt all AI development, so it would be a great success (infinity times as many survivors as the business as usual option).