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belowavgiq • yesterday at 3:40 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

I'm honestly very glad to hear it won't be too bad but I reaaaaallly do not really care about numbers, my point is much broader.

I'd prefer if it didn't have to go through this at all. Knowing you are headed for bad times isn't something to live with, it's something to fix. And it's not like the birth rates in each state are staying the same, they are actively dropping. The issue isn't just there, it's also getting worse.


Replies

myrmidon • yesterday at 4:21 PM

What makes you confident that declining population is gonna be worse than the alternative?

Smooth population decline means much less contention on ressources, energy and living space, which is highly relevant when all of those are already somewhat at the limit.

Significant positive growth is clearly completely unsustainable even over centuries, and I don't see why a somewhat smaller total human population could not be just as successful/satisfied over the next decades.

JumpCrisscross • yesterday at 4:18 PM

> I reaaaaallly do not really care about numbers

Then don't raise them! Also, don't raise problems that are easily disproven with real numbers! Demographics is a terrible domain to vibe your way through.

> Knowing you are headed for bad times isn't something to live with, it's something to fix

I literally just showed you that demographic projections for India give realistic scenarios for the number of under-18 year olds being equal to the number of over-80 year olds by 2100. The worst case is a 5:1 ratio.

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