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lovich • yesterday at 4:41 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

Maybe that neurosis explains another phenomena I’ve noticed.

My household hosts a lot and we’ve come to expect a full on 50% flake rate, down to multiple instances of people getting to our street and deciding to stop at the restaurant at the end for food and go home instead of arriving.

It means if we invite less than 5 people there are occasions where literally no one shows up. It’s also difficult to plan for when the odds go in the other direction like one news year party where we invited 30 people, expected ~15 and had 29 show up.


Replies

ryandrake • yesterday at 10:47 PM

Yea, we see somewhere between 50-75% flake. You have to invite a LOT of people to end up with a few showing up. Without a way to post the Sankey diagram:

Out of 30 people invited to a typical house party, I'd say maybe 10 respond that they'll come. Out of those 10, 3-5 will actually come. Out of the 20 people that didn't reply, maybe 2-3 of those will show up unannounced. So you need to invite at about a 3:1 ratio.

mrguyorama • yesterday at 6:04 PM

> down to multiple instances of people getting to our street and deciding to stop at the restaurant at the end for food and go home instead of arriving.

That's insane. Who does that and how does it make you feel and have you told them?

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