Most of the impressive accomplishments we’ve seen in the last few months have been the result of huge agent swarms working together and brute-forcing solutions, not massive leaps in intelligence from standalone models. That is still an improvement in the usefulness and power of the technology, but it is NOT evidence that model intelligence is increasing faster than before.

Not that they've hit it but that they are approaching it. The time to panic and steer the narrative is before you hit the iceberg, not after

People have been saying this since GPT-4.

Have we honestly seen that great a leap in the last 6 months, or just better application of what we had 6 months before that.

We are seeing multiple frontier models dropping on the same day and no one bats an eye, because it's more of the same.