alt Hacker NewsOr it just be that demand really does seriously exceed supply. It's not fast to bring supply online, it's costly and risky to do so if the demand will not be sustained for a long time. IMO, there's no conspiracy. I have been telling folks for the last 3 years that the price of AI compute is not coming down for a good 5+ years. Possibly 10 years too. Every human in the world will need AI, the same way we all got on the internet and then mobile. However, outside of humans, for every human there's going to be ten or hundreds of agents also all demanding compute.
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> I have been telling folks for the last 3 years that the price of AI compute
What does that even mean ?
The cost of AI itself (tokens/$ for a given level of intelligence) has been falling rapidly, and shows no sign of stopping.
> Or it just be that demand really does seriously exceed supply. It's not fast to bring supply online, it's costly and risky to do so if the demand will not be sustained for a long time
This is exactly it. There's a lot of conspiracy theory in this thread without realizing that it's just what happens when an insanely large amount of capital is deployed: market distortion.
It's not just RAM, it's things like gas turbines and power transformers. I've seen suggestions that it's even affecting housing starts because the construction effort is pulling in workers, especially electricians.
However unlike you I'm not of the opinion that all that can be built, in that short timeframe. Even less so that it can be operated without pushing us over the 2C global warming threshold.