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ben_w • yesterday at 6:05 PM • 3 replies • view on HN

Very pleased one of my predictions was totally wrong: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23252711

Sure, sure, what LLMs make still isn't "efficient bug-free code": my prediction is falsified because while LLMs can write and train new models with machine learning, ML is fundamentally not advanced enough to throw arbitraty new tasks at like this.


Replies

FabCH • yesterday at 6:10 PM

Somewhat appropriate the site the OP links to is called „goalposts“ because as far as I can see, people keep shifting theirs.

In your case, the comment you link to says „business tasks“ and you expanded it now to „arbitrary new tasks“. Those are not the same. An LLM today sure can do many many many business-speak conversion tasks.

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tripleee • yesterday at 6:22 PM

> reliably convert business-speak into efficient bug-free code

I actually think this would take AGI to solve, which makes me optimistic about the future of software development.

All the benchmarks are currently testing against automated tests the AI can use as an oracle

vlyan • yesterday at 6:21 PM

so the conditions for your prediction simply haven't been met yet.

if/when you can tell a model to do a thing and be confident that it did the thing, it's joever for 90% of knowledge workers.

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