I made a bet with a guy on HN that the market value of OpenAI + Anthropic would get to at least 2.5T by 2027. I think I'm on track to winning.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48517353
I also made a bet that API inference margins are greater than 10% for OpenAI and Anthropic
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48500827
I can make another prediction about Agentic Commerce and I think it will get big. Muse + Grok Bot + Dots.
You're very lucky that market value and actual value isn't the same thing.
But there is no market value pre ipo
> API inference margins are greater than 10% for OpenAI and Anthropic
How do you measure that?
I love it! Kinda wholesome how that heated discussion ended with that bet.