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simianwords • yesterday at 6:19 PM • 4 replies • view on HN

I made a bet with a guy on HN that the market value of OpenAI + Anthropic would get to at least 2.5T by 2027. I think I'm on track to winning.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48517353

I also made a bet that API inference margins are greater than 10% for OpenAI and Anthropic

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48500827

I can make another prediction about Agentic Commerce and I think it will get big. Muse + Grok Bot + Dots.


Replies

ngruhn • yesterday at 6:47 PM

I love it! Kinda wholesome how that heated discussion ended with that bet.

mrweasel • yesterday at 6:41 PM

You're very lucky that market value and actual value isn't the same thing.

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kridsdale1 • yesterday at 7:15 PM

But there is no market value pre ipo

mcphage • yesterday at 6:57 PM

> API inference margins are greater than 10% for OpenAI and Anthropic

How do you measure that?

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