One thing about these numbers that's absolutely shocking to me is how low the energy use is:
> That model’s usage was well within our budget ($68, about 4kWh of energy use / 365 grams of carbon emissions).
The energy cost is literally 1% of the total cost. For context, 4kWh of energy would drive you about 15 miles in an EV, about half of the average person's daily driving miles. It's boiling 10 gallons of water.
With the talk of AI data centers' impact on the world, you'd think this would be 10x to 100x the amount of energy in order to get the effects they're using here.
My takeaway: the AI data center buildout is an overbuild probably at least as large as the fiber buildout that left us with so much dark fiber. If not even bigger. The only thing that will save the economy is the inability of NVIDIA and chip fabs to produce enough chips to match the buildout planned.
"the talk of AI data centers' impact on the world" has been wildly exaggerated and you can see here that this is the least impact of any major new technology in the history of industrialization
Related to this: see the difference between China and US here: https://aidatacenterindex.com/compare/united-states-vs-china...
I have the feeling China is somehow ahead when it comes to energy (and cost) efficiency for AI usage. After all, the two are in a direct competition, and this difference is significant. Or is the "hyper" scaling of energy hungry datacenters in US part of a bubble?
Your only talking about variable direct energy. Does it take into account the entire lifecycle, building the data centre, running the cooling, building the chips, the % the chips are not utilised.
> AI datacenter buildout is an overbuild
a.) we’re supply constrained
b.) only 3% of households pay for AI
Inference amounts will continue to grow heavily.
Yeah the whole data center environmental panic seemed astroturfed to me. I took a look at the numbers and it’s not that bad. If you telework one day instead of commuting you make up for over a week of heavy AI use, and the water use is on par with an average golf course.
There are noise issues in some places. But the panic is excessive. Like nuts.
Maybe environmental panics are to the left what moral panics about stuff like trans people are to the right.
It would be a pretty big deal if the average person's car became 50% less energy efficient, no?
I agree but it does worry me how fast my usage is increasing. Two months ago I was using 10x less tokens and probably not much more than 5kWh on inference. This month about 30kWh on inference. If it becomes more affordable, is there going to be another jump? Not quite sure