alt Hacker NewsNo. But when the wolf experts announce that there are a dangerous number of wolves - and you ignore it - that's a problem.
The people writing this article are experts. They cite other experts.
If you can cite real data from the last few months that still claims there are no wolves - and it's not just insane anti-wolf propaganda - I'd love for you to show me.
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someonebaggy • today at 4:02 PM
What if the last 999 times wolf experts announced there were a dangerous number of wolves, no wolves were found?
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> The people writing this article are experts. They cite other experts.
"Economists have predicted 18 of the last 2 recessions".
I mean, c'mon! You have never read that?
Besides, when "expert in $FOO" means "familiar with $FOO that's only 6 months old", then it's not unreasonable to be skeptical.
In other fields, an expert is someone who's studied the specific field $FOO for decades. Here we're talking about a skill level that is not distinguishable between "1 weeks experience" and "two years experience".