I feel like this has been a growing problem even before AI, I've seen so many people who have spent more years at better universities than I have, who during their junior years could barely do what I was doing when I got out of community college with only an associates, and this was back 10 years or so. I also have a few new graduates who are very solid, I don't know if it's just that their specific university prepares them better, or they took it more seriously. I remember how notoriously hard the testing was at UCF for the CS program, I hear they've made it 'easier' and I believe it was and still is pen and paper, this was for the CS Foundation course, which if you failed (and many did/have) you couldn't take upper level CS courses.
I think the reality is that schools need to stop pretending like they're producing good students just because they're doing the classwork, nobody wants to hire incompetent people.
I think the reason Anthropic thinks programming will be dead in "6 months" or whatever random nonsense they spout is because you might not need intimate knowledge, but they forget how over expensive all their tech is, by the time they can produce an always perfect software developer, will anyone be able to afford it?
Heck they can't stop people from jailbreaking the models, or from having it commit felonies.