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bonoboTP • today at 6:06 AM • 1 reply • view on HN

That's an uphill battle. People will hand wave that the s curve has flattened, and think it will stay at current levels. They claimed this confidently year after year over the last few years.


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kgwgk • today at 7:16 AM

Other people have claimed confidently year after year over the last few years that the latest model was AGI - or that the singularity would arrive in a few months anyway. All the battles are uphill when you’re at a local miminum, I guess.

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