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PorciiVorbesc • today at 4:51 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

>a lot of which they built up more than half a century ago on much cheaper wages

Wrong, auto-sector wages back then were much higher in regards to local purchasing power (especially on the housing front) and also unions were much stronger. Now they're already lower class jobs. A VW factory worker could buy a house and take his family on vacation with a stay at home wife. Good luck with that today when you see how much housing prices have outpaced wage growth since then.

>If wages were significantly lower because of more labor migration, the industry would (obviously) be more globally competitive as well

You forget EU car makers have factories outside the EU, in places with much cheaper labor and less regulations. As do Japan's car makers.

>If wages were significantly lower because of more labor migration, the industry would (obviously) be more globally competitive as well

Well, if we just never freed the slaves, we would still have a globally competitive cotton industry.

> just that it's a given

Are ASML and Airbus selling well because they're cheap to make or because of their unique innovations competitors can't easily replicate?

The west's industry marches on high end innovative exports, not competing in the cheap nicknack market. If your western cars aren't cutting edge and innovative you failed. And they aren't cutting edge and innovative because you didn't invest enough in R&D at the right time, because you valued short term shareholder returns, basically the plague of most western corporation.


Replies

myrmidon • today at 5:10 PM

> You forget EU car makers have factories outside the EU, in places with much cheaper labor. As do Japan's car makers.

Yes, but many of their billions of R&D spending are still spent on (globally) very well paid (local) engineers. Not saying this is bad, but makes it harder to compete.

> Well, if we just never freed the slaves, we would have internationally competitive cotton.

The US still is the leading exporter of cotton.

> The west marches on high end innovative exports, not competing in the cheap nicknack market.

This is an overgeneralization. E.g. Several of the most successful German companies are grocery retailers (as boring and low-tech as it gets).

> Are ASML and Airbus selling well because they're cheap to make or because of their unique innovations competitors can't easily replicate?

I'm not saying you can't pay out globally uncompetitive wages as long as you're sitting on an R&D advantage, but your low-end un-innovative neighbours will catch up to you when R&D is much cheaper for them (just consider the Japanese electronics industry in the 80s/90s for example; people said the exact same shit back then until they no longer could).

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samatman • today at 6:16 PM

> Well, if we just never freed the slaves, we would still have a globally competitive cotton industry.

America is the #3 exporter of cotton in the world, and the world leader in manufacturing and exporting the harvesters (John Deere, Case International) which have replaced those slaves as pickers of cotton.

The facts of the matter support your point much better than your counterfactual did (I do realize you probably did not intend to be taken literally here).