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sanxiyn • today at 12:58 AM • 3 replies • view on HN

OpenAI in fact didn't know what to do with results and didn't want to flood the world, so they asked mathematicians. Mathematicians recommended OpenAI to release them. My guess is it would have been better for OpenAI if they didn't release them. OpenAI is basically doing this as a goodwill.

(See https://agmai.org/general-sep29/ for the recommendation in question.)

People seem to have very misguided ideas about why OpenAI is doing this at all. It is not to brag or to torture mathematicians. It is an eval. OpenAI is known to be willing to pay large amount of money to get a good eval, think FrontierMath. FrontierMath is now saturated, so they need a replacement eval for math. Open math problems are actually a fairly good eval, although a proper eval is better (eg FrontierMath has known difficulty and have tiers from 1 to 4).

Mathematicians would prefer if OpenAI didn't use open math problems as an eval, but OpenAI is not obliged. I actually think OpenAI wouldn't point AI to open math problems if unsaturated FrontierMath Super Duper is available, as it just angers mathematicians, but such eval is not in fact available. Given OpenAI used open math problems as an eval, they could just throw out the result (this is in fact better as an eval since it will keep problems useful longer), but mathematicians preferred to see the result. So OpenAI released them.


Replies

demibabs • today at 1:28 AM

How is solving unsolved problems a good eval? Once a problem is solved and released, you can’t evaluate a future model’s ability to solve it.

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Personbeing12 • today at 6:58 AM

"Mathematicians recommended OpenAI to release them."

This is a misleading characterisation of the mathematicians' position.

The very first paragraph of the AGMAI recommendations explicitly states:

"we do not endorse this practice, and we ask them to stop testing advanced mathematical problems on proprietary models." You appear to have acknowledged this by saying “Mathematicians would prefer if OpenAI didn't use open math problems as an eval…”.

The mathematicians did not ask OpenAI to produce these results. They explicitly asked AI labs to stop producing them in this manner. Their subsequent recommendations concern what labs should do if they have already produced significant results, not an endorsement of the practice.

Furthermore, the recommendation was not simply to release the results, but to responsibly release already existing results. Section 2.B, Step I, explicitly recommends "...labs that have AI mathematical output that is not understood by the people who prompted the AI systems", to search the literature for relevant prior work, provide appropriate attribution, and improve the exposition of AI-generated proofs before releasing them, rather than leaving this work to mathematicians afterwards.

OpenAI published the results on GitHub while still exploring repositories that meet the committee's guidelines. So they followed some of the recommendations, but not all of them and hence, did not release the results as requested by the mathematicians.

I do not think it is a settled matter whether this was done out of goodwill. This is because releasing these results as they were can benefit OpenAI more than releasing them according to the AGMAI recommendations. AGMAI recommended in section 2.B, Step 1.5 that "Each time a solution to a problem is released, it should be clearly documented how exactly AI came to be used on that particular problem. If many results are released at once, then in addition to the results themselves a further document should be written and made public that references all of the released results and explains how many other problems of comparable difficulty the models tried and failed to solve, as well as how the problems were chosen." If the results are released, it is easy to expect that the media will discuss the capabilities of the AI used in the work, as indeed happened. If this AGMAI recommendation was followed, the media would plausibly have also discussed the number of failed attempts and then the overall attitude would not be as favourable to OpenAI as it is now when it comes to the capabilities of the AI that was used. OpenAI did release on GitHub that approximately 4,000 problems were attempted and resulted in 719 manuscripts (after 3 containing suspected errors were removed by OpenAI) across 372 families of problems, but this does not give a calculable number of problems it failed to solve. I do not claim to know OpenAI's intentions or reasoning when these results were released and am not arguing that it was done with improper intentions, only that whether it was done out of goodwill is not a settled matter.

AGMAI's October 6 statement explicitly clarified that its advisory role should not be interpreted as an endorsement of OpenAI's process, and that it was up to the mathematical community to assess how successfully its recommendations had been followed.

Recommending how to responsibly handle the outcomes of something you oppose is not the same as asking for it to happen.

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dataflow • today at 6:50 AM

Any idea what sort of percentage the sentence

> supported by a clear plurality of respondents

was referring to?