> Somewhere around 20M people (0.2%) see first-hand that large, complex projects that used to take them weeks/months can now be completed by agents with a prompt.

Really? That's not my experience. In fact, I've experimented quite a bit with spec-driven design where the LLM does not just get a prompt, but an (informal) spec, often with design considerations included. And yet, regardless of the power of the model, I've never seen them autonomously deliver what I'd consider a finished product.

There are always edge cases that are not properly taken into account, architectural oopsies, performance issues, duplicated code, and other problems, that then need to be identified and fixed, unless it's throwaway software (e.g. a one-off script or some quick experiment).

This is not to say that agents aren't extremely powerful (as I think they are, they do often blow my mind) but the prompt-and-forget approach is IME not a productive use of them for software that is meant to last. This may change in the future, but for now, fully or largely autonomous agentic work does not seem to be the road to quality.