Right, if you are in the business of predicting the future your track record of past predictions is extremely relevant.

Wise to critique both holistically, which makes it funny when people want to ignore an individual's or group's track record (especially regarding specific mental models or types of analyses) when evaluating a specific argument

So is Anthropic's. You'd have to be ludicrously gullible to buy 1/4 of the shit Dario says as true