alt Hacker News> This is because a crash can only happen if prices go down (which is good) or Chinese models become as good as frontier (which is also good).
No... This is not accurate at all. AI valuations are based on high future growth. Prices could stay the same but growth slows and that could cause a crash by itself.
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simianwords • today at 7:04 AM
False. They are based on future revenues that companies can capture. If the companies can’t capture the value and there’s no moat, then the public stands to gain from it.
Why is this controversial?
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Right. AI companies have P/E ratios rarely seen for very large companies. Except for TSLA, which has a P/E ratio of 383, unheard of at that scale. No other large-cap company is much over 40.
TSLA should have crashed by now, but the hype just keeps on coming. Eventually reality will set in, but the market can remain irrational for longer than you can remain solvent. Big AI may be like that.