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losvedir • today at 4:40 PM • 3 replies • view on HN

This feels a bit like someone with one of the first cars thinking about how much faster they can distribute feed for all the horses.

That is, you haven't projected this forward just a bit further and are still thinking in terms of the old world where software is at all valuable and where you can have customers to sell it to.

I still feel myself falling into that trap, but haven't figured out what world replaces this.


Replies

will5421 • today at 5:11 PM

The world that replaces this has AI actually doing the work of gscott’s web2.0 groupware platform.

Spivak • today at 5:21 PM

Where a lot of this gets stuck is that AI software dev isn't a closed loop. They're still completely dependent on complex human written codebases to actually do anything. They're adept users of libraries and platforms but, at least for now, not so adept builders of the same. The ability cutoff being roughly where public documentation ends.

I don't think this will be a hill forever, after all folks have managed to get new novel mathematics out of these models, but for the medium term it seems like the good (software) business to be in is selling shovels to the people digging for AI gold.