> Opus makes boneheaded mistakes and commits enormous anti-patterns constantly.
I would agree that it still does, but much less often than it did in the past. Compare what it produces today vs what it produced one year ago and the improvement is staggering.
(I'm talking across the whole LLM spectrum here, not really Opus in particular).
And AI doesn't have to replace literally 100% of the workforce to have a catastrophic economic impact.
If AI takes 50% of the jobs instead of 100% the economic destruction is roughly the same in the sense that you will already hit calamitous society-level tipping points long before you replace literally everyone.
For context the Great Depression was "only" 25% unemployment.
Ya, at 10-15% things will start coming apart in many countries. The US will be in particularly bad shape because of the massive increases in cost of living and how rent seeking a few near business monopolies have become.
All it takes is a few "too big to fail" to prop up those huge companies while huge portions of the population go bankrupt to cause problems.