It's clearly not a constant in the sense that the speed of light or name of the first US President is a constant. There are lots of different answers a model could give to this question, it's not like this is obviously the only correct answer. Yet they all reach the same conclusion.
Which means either:
1. The training sets, algorithms and methodologies are nearly identical between apparently independent labs. How?
2. There is something weird about the way the underlying algorithms work that causes them to converge on identical ideas despite different initializations, neural architectures, document orderings and dataset compositions.
So there are lots of interesting takeaways here.
One is that apparent competition between labs appears to be nearly redundant. They can't get an edge over each other and their models don't even differ in the ways people naturally differ, of having different opinions about things.
Another is that asking models from different companies to review or cross-check each other is probably useless. They all think completely alike, so they aren't going to have any kind of genuine clash of intuitions or values. Asking GPT to review Claude's work will probably just find similar problems to asking GPT to review its own work.
There are two possible scenarios.
Regarding your 1 and 2, that the training sets are so large that any spikes get averaged away. You are seeing a fundamental behavior of transformers.
The other possibility is this is how humans really are and it hurts our human ego to hear it.
What would be the most interesting is option 3. This behavior is so apparent and pervasive in human interaction that it dominates other answers.
I don't know if that's true, but it would be interesting.
> They can't get an edge over each other and their models don't even differ in the ways people naturally differ, of having different opinions about things.
Of course - the models are not individuals with their own opinions - they are averages of human opinion, and given the scale of the training sets, the data they are averaging over is mostly in common between models (at least for the common core before company A vs B adds a dab of some uniquely sourced specialized data to the mix).