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nradov • yesterday at 8:10 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

The number of students graduating high school peaked in 2025 and has now started a gradual decline. Colleges are essentially now playing a game of "musical chairs" competing for students and there aren't enough to go around. The elite institutions and cost-effective state schools will probably be fine but less exclusive private colleges without a solid value proposition have no clear path to survival.

https://www.wiche.edu/resources/report-u-s-high-school-gradu...


Replies

JumpCrisscross • yesterday at 8:30 PM

> number of students graduating high school peaked in 2025 and has now started a gradual decline

Hasn’t this happened after each boom generation?

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Topology1 • yesterday at 10:34 PM

How do we know that was a peak? There's only been one more year of data

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