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d0liver • today at 1:35 AM • 1 reply • view on HN

Not really. Like, yes, relative to your competitors. But, if the cost of growing potatoes is ten cents per potato, and then I make something that can produce potatoes for one cent then I'd expect everyone to just have more potatoes. This would drive down the cost of potatoes, because the supply would be saturated eventually, but AI is supposed to just make more of everything. So, if AI works as advertised, then you'd probably expect a brief period of highly increased profit margins (by the consumers of AI) followed by rapid _deflation_ as the value of everyone's dollar increases exponentially. Of course, neither of those things is going to happen, because the AI sales pitch is actually a pyramid scheme, so you get the people at the top raking in cash, while everyone else tries to sucker the next tier of buyers so that they can make their buck.


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nfw2 • today at 2:14 AM

I think the problem is moreso that making useful things for enterprise with AI right now is actually pretty hard because context and attention management is hard, the token cost for complex tasks scales fast, and model's lack of intuition for fuzzy decision-making.

There are hordes of grifters promising things they can't deliver and reaping in millions in capital from investors who are equally confused about the challenges of designing useful AI.

That said, AI can do useful things when properly designed. The market finding the people who can make this happen won't happen as fast as people expect.