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altmanaltman • today at 7:21 AM • 4 replies • view on HN

> nine agents still can’t deliver a baby in one month.

Very weird way to say this. Like it holds true for biological beings because pregnancy by default has a fixed timeline. But how does this apply to AI? Also what even is an "agent"? Are they distinct worker units on a program or the same worker unit split into multiple instances?

Why are we assuming agent = man when its a computer program?


Replies

logicchains • today at 9:41 AM

It's a metaphor for some tasks being inherently serial, so no amount of parallelism will make them complete faster.

solyin • today at 8:19 AM

To whit, 13,000 women can make a baby in one month. If you hire that many women, by the statistics, that's how many it takes for one of them to be 8 months pregnant.

Agents still have to communicate using tokens (for now). There are more advanced mechanisms being proposed, but for now, and until proven otherwise, the same scaling problems apply to agents communicating as humans, it just happens a bit faster, and with no HR issues because someone slept with the wrong person. Mesh networking, and thus agents too, are beholden to Gupta-Kumar scaling law.

Kurtz79 • today at 7:45 AM

It's a weird way to express that concept, in fact I don't think it ever appeared like this in the book (it has been a while).

It would be something like "nine women cannot deliver a baby in one month", which can be more easily transposed to "adding resources to a SW project does not make it faster".

The agrument is that adding people increase coordination and communication overhead, which gets bigger as the team grows. Moreover, some tasks cannot be parallelized that easily and create dependencies.

I have only worked with agents for personal projects, but I cannot say that explicity dividing the work between multiple agents and asking them to coordinate is inherently faster than having a single agent work on it (of course the single agent will spawn subagents in rencent harnesses.)

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UqWBcuFx6NV4r • today at 7:33 AM

Are you aware of the original saying?