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colechristensen • today at 2:30 PM • 1 reply • view on HN

The ~$1T/y AI capex isn't remotely sustainable. Memory fab capacity will go up, AI datacenter provisioning will go down, prices will become reasonable.


Replies

80fj0348i • today at 5:00 PM

> Memory fab capacity will go up

The fabs are terrified to overscale in case the market collapses before the builds are complete.

> AI datacenter provisioning will go down

Depends on political opposition at both local and national levels. Hard to predict the future, which feeds into the previous point.

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