logoalt Hacker News

mjdv • today at 4:38 PM • 1 reply • view on HN

> they cannot control for the willingness to respond to polls at all

Why not? If they poll the same question (e.g. political party) repeatedly (e.g. in many elections) eventually you could build some kind of model of which parties poll-answerers are more likely to skew towards, or how much they shift compared to non-answerers. Not fundamentally a different process from other ways of removing bias from polls.


Replies

bombcar • today at 4:57 PM

That’s exactly what they do but by definition it will always be a lagging indicator when the game changes.