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adjejmxbdjdn • yesterday at 9:37 PM • 1 reply • view on HN

How reliable are Israeli exit polls generally?


Replies

monocasa • yesterday at 11:00 PM

They're normally really good, but this is a wild election. Tons of people flying in (you can't vote absentee in most cases in Israel (except settlers in the occupied territories)), and record Arab Israeli turnout mean that a lot of the models that they would use to remove sampling bias aren't that accurate.

https://x.com/israel_elects/status/2115168648520519891