Jeeze, if it ends up being these https://x.com/israel_elects/status/2115191017066377366 I expect no one can make a government, and we have a new election. The opposition's only real pathway is through adding the Joint List to their coalition (which is the coalition of chiller Arab parties after Ra'am (the Islamist party) left). But that's not really going to happen. And on the opposite side, Yisrael Beteinu was obviously hoping to be the one to switch sides, but they don't have the numbers, basically only The Democrats do (but there's no way they'll switch).

At this point my fictional money is on there's a new election in a few months, it doesn't have the same influx of diaspora helping the opposition since they already just spent thousands flying in and back, and Netanyahu wins again.