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tristanj • today at 4:06 PM • 0 replies • view on HN

1) There is a chance the deal is blocked by antitrust regulators, and does not close.

2) Regulatory reviews typically take 6 months to a year. There is an opportunity cost to holding shares over this time, your capital is tied up in shares, when you could instead use the money to buy US 10-year Treasuries that yield around 5%.

Assuming the deal closes at $65 in 12 months, the present value of these shares is $65 / (1 + 5%) = $61.90