Of all the comments on this post, this landed the most.
I feel there is a potential to "distill" the frontier models into useful tools that can run on smaller hardware. Or distill that knowledge to produce hardware, compute or otherwise. Iff one day the frontier model become inaccessible, the tools that were carved with them may remain valuable.
They will remain most valuable if they are designed in a way that is maintainable even without LLMs. If not, they can be studied as artifacts, or reference designs and then recreated using human intelligence.
The analog I'm playing with:
You can rent time at a high end machine shop and use the best CNC machines to produce extremely valuable tools. Once you leave, you don't have access to those tools, so it is advantageous to produce durable artifacts that are valuable on their own — on a different frontier.
Imagine you're going beyond the frontier physically, exploring new parts of the earth or space. You can't bring the giant machine shop, let alone the machinery of society, the entire economy etc. What do you bring? What do you build now while you have access to the best machines to take with you?
Of all the comments on this post, this landed the most.
I feel there is a potential to "distill" the frontier models into useful tools that can run on smaller hardware. Or distill that knowledge to produce hardware, compute or otherwise. Iff one day the frontier model become inaccessible, the tools that were carved with them may remain valuable.
They will remain most valuable if they are designed in a way that is maintainable even without LLMs. If not, they can be studied as artifacts, or reference designs and then recreated using human intelligence.
The analog I'm playing with:
You can rent time at a high end machine shop and use the best CNC machines to produce extremely valuable tools. Once you leave, you don't have access to those tools, so it is advantageous to produce durable artifacts that are valuable on their own — on a different frontier.
Imagine you're going beyond the frontier physically, exploring new parts of the earth or space. You can't bring the giant machine shop, let alone the machinery of society, the entire economy etc. What do you bring? What do you build now while you have access to the best machines to take with you?