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andai • today at 11:08 AM • 2 replies • view on HN

>vibe coded, no thanks

I hear this a lot, the argument usually being "they didn't care to put effort into it, so it probably won't be maintained.

That's a reasonable assumption. It's basically the Lindy effect: The longer something has existed, the longer it probably will.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect

But maybe a Lindy effect measuring effort rather than time (as a signal of commitment). Git commits no longer mean effort since the computer can just make commits on its own.

Still, one day I expect to see a fully vibe coded project and to see that the guy has been maintaining it for ten years. That will probably give me a different impression.

We just don't know yet which of today's projects will survive, and which will be rapidly abandoned.


Replies

pjmlp • today at 12:11 PM

It is the same measurement as those AI written Readme files, blog posts and articles.

It is still the output of a replicator machine, regardless of text, images, video or code.

lazystone • today at 11:20 AM

I think everyone knows.