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this_user • yesterday at 11:24 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

AI growth is unlikely to be linear. We have seen a lot of hype in the last 12-18 month that give us ideas like "tokenmaxxing". But this is the same cycle that we have been before: hype -> disillusionment -> someone figures out a better way to use it -> next hype phase starts.

As it stands, even the people closest to this technology have barely figured out how to use it effectively.


Replies

PostOnce • yesterday at 11:29 PM

Sometimes it's just Hype -> disillusionment, and then no one ever figures out a better way and it's dead technology.

Not saying that applies to AI, but it certainly applies sometimes.

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hinkley • yesterday at 11:50 PM

AI has historically had a habit of disappearing for ten years and coming back once memories fade and the new story sounds enough different from the old one.

I don’t think this era is going to end with us all unemployed, but I do plan to be retired before the next cycle.