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rsalus • yesterday at 11:25 PM • 1 reply • view on HN

The conclusion that this is a bubble seems arbitrary and disconnected from the several true facts outlined in the article. Anthropic's growth _is_ slowing, albeit still strong at ~47%. They do have enormous compute obligations, and it will require a lot of growth to meet them. However, they also increased revenue per dollar spent on compute from $0.40 to $2.08 in five quarters and hold $131.7bn in cash.

Keep in mind this growth has mostly been sustained by low-level business automations, coding, and chatbots. With the adoption of products like personal agents, e.g., Meta's Muse, I am pretty optimistic there will be demand and growth around this level will be sustained for a few quarters. Doubtful we will ever see another ~150% growth quarter.


Replies

hinkley • yesterday at 11:59 PM

> revenue per dollar spent on compute from $0.40 to $2.08

So that’s ignoring labor and perhaps facilities? That’s like saying we’ve hit net positive fusion by only considering the power produced by the laser and ignoring the 80% power losses in the feed-in.