alt Hacker News> An event predicted to happen p% of the time happens about p% of the time. Can’t beat that.
https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/10/pr...
> An event predicted to happen p% of the time happens about p% of the time. Can’t beat that.
https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/10/pr...
You can link me studies that are paid and bought for by these companies all day long. Find me one where the guy is not a consultant to the companies themselves.