I strongly suspect they are "pacing the frontier", maybe not explicitly in cooperation, but the models are now at a point where cracks in alignment could seriously blow up in the labs face. We can only imagine the backlash to "High school kid brings Bank of America to it's knees for 7 hours with ChatGPT hack"
The "plateau" of LLMs could turn out to be the "plateau" of publically available LLMs.
Haven’t found a convincing argument to why they would continue to release models under the assumption of being on an exponential. So hard agree
Certainly a big topic. In terms of Fable 5.5 at least it seems not to be the case, because partners already have access to it for 2 weeks. I consider it likely they are afraid of timing in regards to the GPT 6.2 release and government intervention risks related to IPO. (like last time).