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brightball • today at 6:40 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

"In the short term the market is a popularity contest; in the long term it is a weighing machine." - Warren Buffett

Here's the valuation though. Percentage of total web traffic going through Cloudflare.

- 2016 ~3.9%

- 2017 ~5.3%

- 2018 ~6.6%

- 2019 ~7.6%

- 2020 ~11.2%

- 2021 ~15.4%

- 2022 ~19.4%

- 2023 ~18.0%

- 2024 ~18.9%

- 2025 ~19.2%

- 2026 (early) ~20.9% (with later snapshots higher, up to the mid-to-high 20s)

Combine that with consistently excellent execution and popularity, you get the valuation.


Replies

s-kymon • today at 6:44 PM

The quote comes from Ben Graham and it goes "In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine"

You're confusing market share with valuation. Also, look into business cycle theory from marathon asset management.

The four most dangerous words in finance "this time is different"

➕ show 1 reply
timacles • today at 7:25 PM

All it takes is for that % of internet number to go down or stagnate and the narrative to change and that valuation will quickly snap back to reality.