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georgeecollins • today at 6:40 PM • 1 reply • view on HN

Thinking a 5% drop in one day is a big deal is recency bias. Other people have pointed out that statistically it is not that rare. We just have been living through an amazing run for equities.

I am not saying I know it will be fine or I know it will be terrible. I am saying I have lived through many 5%+ drops and they happen on the way up and down.


Replies

chollida1 • today at 7:07 PM

> Thinking a 5% drop in one day is a big deal is recency bias

In the past 5 years the S&P 500 has dropped 5% 1 time. the Nasdaq has done it 3 times.

You are ofcourse welcome to your own definition of a big deal but to me something that happens that rarely is a big deal.

At worst you'd have to agree that hte language is defensible:)

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